By Mitchell Krause aka YTP KING –
Now we go, I’ve been eagerly awaiting the start of the greatest money heist in the world which is known as the NFL. I have been betting on all sorts of weird shit for the last few months, but my baby is back, and she has her legs open ready to give.
A few points of order first, this is merely my opinion. If you don’t agree then I don’t give a fuck. Any tips I do give in my weekly blog you do not need to bet on, if you can’t afford it then get a job or be better at tipping. NFL is nearly as unreliable as me on a Saturday night coming home, I may stick to my word, or I may come home Sunday night.
FUTURE BETS:
As you may pick up over the next 19 weeks, I am a BIG Aaron Rodgers fan, and that’s why I am trusting A-Rod after his little pre season hiatus to go back to back MVP @ $11.
Patrick Mahomes at $6 looks a safe bet but his health and Kansas City weapons make it hard.
A smokey is Christian McCaffery @ $51 as I think he is in fort a huge offensive year in a lack luster Carolina Offense. Also Justin Herbert at $23 in his second year could be a nice little future bet.
Offensive Rookie of the year is a tough one with so many good young QB1 coming into their own in the preseason. Trevor Lawrence at $4.50 will all depend on how good the Jags can be under new coach Urban Meyer.
Mac Jones, Justin Fields & Trey Lance all who are current QB2 could cause Lawrence some issues depending on when they get a shot on the field, if Mac Jones gets named QB1 week 1 then book it, he will win OROY @ $11.50.
UPDATE – Cam Newton has been released by the NE Patriots, Mac Jones into $5.50 to win OROY, Lawrence now out to $5.05. Free money lads.
Defensive Rookie of the year I’m leaving alone as no real stand out, but I like the cowboys draft pick Micah Parsons at $8 but I do not trust the cowboys as they are weaker than me with a packet.
Defensive Player of the year is normally a one-horse race with the most dominant big man of our era Aaron Donald sitting atop the mountain 3 of the last 4 years, but TJ Watt, Myles Garret, Nick Bosa and Chase Young have been closing in over the last few years. Donald is currently $6 and would be a safe bet but I like TJ Watt at $8 who I personally think was robbed last year. Roughie for DPOY Devin White with the defending Superbowl champs @ $34, the man chooses violence every morning when he wakes up!
Superbowl Champs Tampa Bay Bucs have managed to somehow bring back all their starters from last season, and The KC Chiefs with Patty Mahomes are looking for redemption after a poor Superbowl showing both are $6 and $7.50 respectfully. But I think this is the year the Green Bay Packers get over the hump at $15. They have fallen short the last 2 years but a renewed Aaron Rodgers who is ultimately playing on a 1 year prove it contract to the rest of the NFL. Also, if Baker Mayfield can not turn the ball over the Cleveland Browns at $17 is a juicy little bet.
College Football Heisman Winner, fair to say Alabama QB Bryce Young at $4.50 is a near lock, after watching him week 1 it will be hard for anyone to beat the Nick Saban juggernaut.
Over/Under Win totals:
- Denver Broncos Over 8.5 @ $1.78
2. Detroit Lions Under 5 @$1.78 (Could go 0-17)
3. Indi Colts over 8.5 @1.78
4. Tennessee Titans over 9 $1.60
WEEK 1
Thursday night football opener sees the Dallas Cowboys head to reigning defending Superbowl champs Tampa Bay, the line is 7.5 and I can’t see the cowboys getting within 21 of the bucs. They started slow last year the bucs but I don’t think a Superbowl hangover will effect Tom Brady in what feels like his 40th season.
With an action-packed week 1 – some lines I really like are as followed:
- Buffalo -6.5 v Steelers, Big Ben will take a few weeks to get back in shape
- San Francisco -7.5 @ Detroit, Detroit won’t win a game all year
- Washington +1.5 vs LAC, Washington D too good
- NE -2.5 Vs Dolphins, Mac Jones coming out party
- GB -2.5 @ Saints, Saints don’t have a starting QB
- Baltimore -4.5 vs Raiders, Raiders too hot and cold
***Moneyline Multi***
5 Leg Multi – $5.41
Bucs
Bills
49ers
Pats
Packers
GOOD LUCK & HAPPY PUNTING!!!
Yeah The Punt 